Earth system risk, planetary boundary status, tipping points, and geopolitical cascades from environmental stress — tracked weekly.
The Global Environmental Risks & Planetary Boundaries Monitor (GERP Monitor) tracks Earth system processes as a strategic intelligence domain — treating ecological degradation as a structural condition that reshapes the geopolitical operating environment, not as a moral cause.
The confirmed strengthening of El Nino into a strong event for July through September 2026 raises multi-region food security and water stress risk across the Maritime Continent, southern Asia, the Car
Read briefing →Sustained three-month record heat sequence (May to July 2026) combined with a lowered Amazon degradation threshold indicates the climate change and land-system change boundaries are now interacting no
Read briefing →The Nordic Seas Overturning Circulation strengthening is confirmed by PIK to be a symptom of AMOC weakening rather than a stabilising counter-signal, and may itself be a precursor to eventual collapse
Read briefing →El Niño onset in context of already-elevated baseline SST represents non-linear acceleration of climate change boundary rather than discrete crossing; super El Niño trajectory by September will compou
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