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Macro Monitor

Weekly financial crisis early-warning system tracking debt, credit, market structure, real economy, and systemic risk. Published every Monday.

Macro Monitor — TL;DR Week of 30 March 2026

System stress at ELEVATED -> HIGH with zero bullish asset class scores: consumer confidence at a GFC-trough, a Hormuz supply disruption embedding a $15-20 oil premium, and private credit gate risk the most underpriced systemic trigger in the model.

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